The Freedom Paradox

Do we really understand freedom?

Let’s put aside the cliches, platitudes, and euphemisms.
Let’s ask some real questions.
Let’s be honest with ourselves.

Are you free?

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The Amateur Society: Let’s Get Ready To Rumble – Presidential Debate #1

Debate.jpg

Amateurs,

Our regular open call will take place tonight, Monday 9/26, at 8:00pm eastern time via Skype. To join in please send us a contact request on Skype by searching for our account name amateursociety. If you have any questions or need clarification, please drop us a line on the contact page here or email us directly at amateursociety@gmail.com.

Tonight marks the first presidential debate of the 2016 election cycle. This is being billed as the most important and most watched political event in the history of history. In today’s culture attention is one of the most sought after currencies, and based on all indications the stakes are high in terms of influencing the perceptions of an audience across the globe. We will spend the first hour discussing our expectations, hopes, dreams, and reservations before going live and simulcasting the debate for all those who are interested on remaining with us. This is going to be a unique special broadcast of The Amateur Society; don’t miss it!

Bring your questions to our open forum and join us for another lively meeting of The Amateur Society. We look forward to having you with us. Stay safe and God bless!

-Steven

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New All Time Lows for Deutsche Bank – Critical $10 Threshold In View

http://finviz.com/chart.ashx?t=DB&ty=c&ta=0&p=w&s=l

For those who may be tired of hearing about the woes of Deutsche Bank, I unfortunately cannot apologize at this time. It is necessary for me to continue cataloguing the adventures of the systemically important German bank because it is one of the key signposts that trouble is brewing. More accurately, trouble is being poured out with another batch brewing right behind it.

Despite reassurances from Deutsche Bank’s latest CEO, all is not well. The stock has lost almost 50% of its value in 2016 after a dismal performance in 2015 as well. So why is this happening now?

The immediate catalyst for the renewed selling was the announcement over the weekend from Angela Merkel proclaiming that DB would not receive a bailout – at least until after the national elections in Germany in September 2017. Bailing out Deutsche Bank may be politically unpopular, but playing this game of chicken and removing the implied backstop of the government over the next year ratchets up the risk of holding any Deutsche Bank equity or debt by several levels. Merkel has been tanking politically due to her handling of the so-called migrant crisis, and her party has suffered some noteworthy defeats in regional elections. Surely now would not be the time to put additional capitalization pressure on a bank with a derivative book several times larger than the GDP of the entire European continent, right?

View the full article on The Amateur Society here.

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The Amateur Society: Lit Fuses and Boiling Tensions – A Global Pressure Cooker

The Amateur Society will have its regularly scheduled conference call tonight. For more articles and information click here.

Amateurs,

Our regular open call will take place tonight, Monday 9/19, at 8:00pm eastern time via Skype. To join in please send us a contact request on Skype by searching for our account name amateursociety. If you have any questions or need clarification, please drop us a line on the contact page here or email us directly at amateursociety@gmail.com.

All eyes are on New York City – where I reside – currently due to explosive devices going off and others being discovered over the weekend in Manhattan and in New Jersey. It seems that the whole world is in a pressure cooker state at the moment that is threatening to boil over. Tonight we will be talking about the events in New York City as well as the failure of the cease fire in Syria and a general economic update for the busy week of central bank decisions ahead. Let’s get together, encourage one another, share information, and do our best to sort out what’s going on in these tense times to make sure that we are not overwhelmed.

Bring your questions to our open forum and join us for another lively meeting of The Amateur Society. We look forward to having you with us. Stay safe and God bless!

-Steven

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The Global Two Minute Drill: What Happens When the Cracks in the Foundation Are Too Obvious to Ignore, Cover, or Patch?

Visit The Amateur Society for additional articles and meeting announcements!

crack

In the past I’ve written about how our economic and governmental institutions are currently maintained because of a perception of confidence. In A Collapse in Credibility I anticipated a hastening erosion of confidence in the Federal Reserve. Fast forward three months and even mainstream media outlets are questioning the effectiveness of the ongoing emergency monetary policy at the Fed in light of their lies concerning data dependence and their lack of direction. Some are even openly declaring that the unprecedented monetary policy pursued over the last decade has failed. While this was by no means a difficult forecast, to this day it remains opaque to those who hold on to the beliefs that the Fed has their best interests in mind, is focused only on its stated objectives, has the power to achieve its stated objectives, and provides accurate forecasts.

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Why The Confusion Surrounding The Holy Spirit?

By Dr Mike Spaulding, Pastor of Calvary Chapel, Lima, OH

beingfilled

It seems that the more outlandish those given to a charismatically influenced expression of Christianity become, the more those on the other end of the spectrum – most notably reformed believers – recoil and rebuff any talk of the present ministry and power of the Holy Spirit.

In my view both extremes are in error. Let me explain.

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Deutsche Bank Down Almost 10%

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An ugly year for Deutsche Bank seems like it could get a whole lot uglier. The stock of the systemically important bank holding over $70 trillion of derivatives is under significant pressure today. Overnight it was reported that the US Department of Justice offered to settle outstanding litigation and charges relating to the 2008 financial crisis and the mishandling of mortgage securities for $14Bn. Deutsche Bank refused to settle, and the uncertainty has put the stock back within striking distance of its all time lows from last month. The total market value of the stock is under $20Bn, making the proposed settlement fine extremely significant relative to the overall valuation of the company. This is a live situation, and we’ll see how this plays out. One thing is for sure: this will be a weekend filled with closed door meetings at a variety of financial, regulatory, and governmental institutions.

Instead of going forward with an analysis of the timing of this announcement from the DoJ at this moment, I’m going to wait to see how things unfold in the next 48-72 hours. By then we’ll hopefully have a clearer picture of what’s happening at a micro level and what the potential consequences are at the macro level.

Stay frosty, amateurs: ’tis the season of Lehman – bankrupt 8 years ago yesterday.

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